2023 Spanish General election results. Right wing opposition blocfalls short of expected majority, Sánchez might be reelected.

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Parties:

• PP: right/center-right (opposition leader).

• PSOE: center-left (govt)

• Vox: far-right

• Sumar: left/far-left coalition (govt partners)

• Bildu, ERC, BNG: Left wing moderate (ish) separatists.

• PNV, CC: center-right Basque/Canary nationalist. Do not want independence.

• Junts: right wing Catalan separatists. Tried to declare Catalan independence in 2017.

• UPN: Similar to PP but with a Navarrese regionalist (anti Basque nationalist) twist.

Majority: 176 seats

PP+Vox+UPN+CC: 172.

Everyone else except Junts (aka the parties that made Sánchez president in 2020): 171.

Junts
(7 seats) said they will support whoever gives them an independence
referendum. But that’s impossible. So the possibilities are:

•
Junts reaches a more reasonable compromise with Sánchez (more likely
than with Feijóo) and risks being seen as traitors by hardcore
separatists.

• The elections are repeated around Christmas.